As I’ve often written, you never know that you’ve reached the bottom of a market until its on the way up. In recent months, I’ve strongly suggested that we had hit bottom in the world of Lafayette real estate, as well as the greater Lamorinda area, and would maybe see some upward trajectory to the market in 2012. For what its worth, it now appears that the national media is coming to a similar conclusion with the fictitious “national market”, and is starting to run positive stories on the resurgence of real estate markets across the US.
According to a Wall St. Journal article from earlier this week, “Sales of previously owned homes in the U.S. rose last month to the highest level in nearly two years, and the inventory of unsold homes contracted to a level considered healthy by economists, positive signs for the housing market.” Additionally, Guy Berger, U.S. economist with RBS Capital Markets, wrote that some of the recent growth in home sales may have been the result of the mild winter. “But for the most part, it seems that the housing sector may have turned the corner.”
It’s too early to see all of the positive indicators reflected in the housing statistics for the Larmorinda real estate market. Sometimes it’s simply the intangible, subjective factors that one has to run with to anticipate a turn in the market. A week ago I was working with our client on the evaluation of 4 offers received on a Lafayette home priced just under $1M. While I can’t yet share where the offers came in, the quantity of offers and their financial strength certainly was a quick litmus test for the market. Furthermore, as part of my due diligence, I spoke to the respective agents and gained further insight into the buyers’ motivation level. Clearly, the experience reinforced my positive outlook for the market.
We have another Lafayette home that is just about a week away from closing escrow and was purchased before completion by a reader of this blog. Ironically, within about 2 weeks of going into escrow, we received several online inquiries about the property via its website — from both agents and buyers. One buyer said that she found it by searching for “Coming Soon” real estate in Lafayette! She is highly motivated to buy and frustrated by the low inventory in her price segment.
Sometimes, just talking with other brokers can yield insight to the market and a feeling for what lies ahead. While viewing new properties to the market on Tuesday, we had numerous agents ask us what sorts of properties we have on their way to the market — all telling us that they have many buyers with unsatisfied needs based upon current inventory.
If you’ve ever been at the bottom of a canyon, you know that the climb out can be slow and sometimes fraught with some setbacks along the way. I think we’ve begun our journey out, and will soon be able to look down and see some of the scattered debris left in the tracks of the market below.


